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The queue of vessels waiting to unload goods at the Port of Los Angeles, North America’s busiest container port, has fallen 80% since the start of the year as global container prices continue to slide, pointing to more easing in supply chain disruptions. 

The backlog of vessels waiting outside Los Angeles has fallen from a record high of 109 to 20 and the port moved 876,611 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in June in its best record in over 100 years.

“We’re going box for box with the record that we set for the first half just last year. So the cargo keeps moving. And the efficiencies of getting that cargo from the ship to shore by rail and truck continues to improve,” Port of Los Angeles Executive Director Gene Seroka told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Friday. 

“We reduced that backlog of ships since the beginning of the year … now we want to get that number to zero.”

The increased efficiency is a contrast to the delays triggered by the pandemic in 2020 and 2021.

At the height of supply chain crisis, these 100 odd vessels idled outside Los Angeles and Long Beach, waiting to unload. Before Covid-19, little wait time was needed for a berth. The pandemic also hurt domestic transportation as a result of trucker shortages due to Covid-19 infections. 

While improved, conditions have not returned to pre-Covid levels and more improvements are needed, in particular the delivery of goods inland after the vessels have unloaded, Seroka said. 

“We’ve got to get the cargo picked up at the inland rail facilities by our importers much quicker than they’ve been doing thus far,” he said. 

“That’ll help the Western railroads get the equipment engine power and cruise back here to Los Angeles and keep evacuating this cargo at a faster pace than we witnessed so far.”

Seroka said the trucker strike protesting California’s new “gig worker” law at the Port of Oakland should not affect the improved pace set so far.

The easing bottlenecks on the West Coast come as container prices continue to fall from their pandemic records.

Port lockdowns and a shortage of containers in 2020 and 2021 contributed to skyrocketing leasing costs. But now there is an oversupply of containers and prices have been falling since September.

“The current situation of oversupply of containers is a result of a series of reactionary market disruptions that began soon after the outbreak of the pandemic in early 2020,” logistics platform Container xChange chief executive Christian Roeloffs said in a new analysis this week. 

“With the rise in demand, congestion at ports increased and the container capacity was held up for a considerably long period of time. This led to the panic ordering of new boxes at record levels,” he said.

“With time, as markets reopen and demand softens, the oversupply is a natural outcome of demand-supply forces balancing at new levels.”

According to Drewry’s recently published container leasing report, the global pool of shipping containers increased by 13% to almost 50 million TEUs in 2021. There is now a surplus of 6 million TEUs globally. 

While more containers bring welcomed relief for those paying for freight, Roeloffs said freight prices will not fall quickly as disruptions, while eased, remain acute. 

Economic shifts such as cooler demand in response to monetary policy and inflation will also contribute to fresh supply chain disruptions. 

“The main factor that has driven up [freight] prices has been a supply-side crunch over the past two years because of lengthening turnaround times of containers … that still holds true,” Roeloffs said. 

“Demand on the other hand has softened now.”

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon set the tone early this earnings season when he said inflation is “deeply entrenched” in the U.S. economy and impacting conditions on a multitude of fronts.

Since then, company leader after company leader has expressed similar sentiments.

Most say they’ve managed to navigate difficult times spurred by inflationary pressures at their highest level in more than 40 years. They report cutting costs, raising prices and generally trying to adapt models to the uncertainty of what’s ahead.

Tesla founder Elon Musk was practically apologetic on his company’s earnings call for hiking prices to meet higher costs.

“So I do feel like we’ve raised our prices. Well, we’ve raised our prices quite a few times. They’re frankly at embarrassing levels,” the mercurial electric vehicle pioneer told analysts. “But we’ve also had a lot of supply chain and production shocks, and we’ve got crazy inflation. So I am hopeful, this is not a promise or anything, but I’m hopeful that at some point we can reduce the prices a little bit.”

Nothing, however, seems certain at the moment, other than that inflation is on everyone’s mind.

Of the 91 S&P 500 companies that have reported so far, inflation has been mentioned on 85 of the analysts calls, according to a search of FactSet transcripts.

Like Musk, company officials generally expect inflation to come down from the 8.6% quarterly growth rate from a year ago, as measured by the consumer price index. The CPI accelerated 9.1% in July, the highest number since November 1981.

But they’re also not taking any chances, using pricing power now to bolster their top and bottom lines amid a highly uncertain environment.

“Our primary response to the environmental challenge of inflation is higher pricing,” said Michael F. Klein, the president of personal insurance for Dow component Travelers. “We are pleased with our actions to increase rates over the past few quarters and remain confident in our ability to achieve further increases.”

The higher prices certainly haven’t hurt profitability, with results so far countering the generally pessimistic attitude on Wall Street heading into earnings season.

With nearly 20% of the S&P 500 companies reporting so far, 78% have beaten estimates for profits, which are up 6.3% from a year ago, according to Refinitiv. The beat rate on the revenue side is 72.5%, with sales up 11.3%.

Though energy companies have been a major boost to the aggregate top and bottom lines, the overall feeling is that cash-rich consumers are able to handle the burden of soaring prices, at least for now.

“We have been able to and continue to be able to pass through our product cost inflation to our customers, and they are increasingly finding ways to pass that through to their consumers as well,” said Sysco Chief Financial Officer Aaron Alt. “We’re confident that will continue to be the case certainly in here and now.”

Economists have worried that a looming recession could chill consumer spending that has been persistent but short of the pace of inflation.

Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser said the company has been focused on what she calls the “three Rs”: Russia, rates and recession.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a contributor towards the supply chain difficulties that have aggravated inflation, which the Federal Reserve is seeking to tamp down through aggressive interest rate increases. The rate hikes are aimed at slowing an economy that contracted by 1.6% in the first quarter and is on track to have shrunk by the same amount in the Q2, according to Atlanta Fed projections.

Still, Fraser said she thinks the U.S. will avoid an official recession or at least a deep one, even though two consecutive quarters of negative growth fits the rule-of-thumb definition. The National Bureau of Economic Recession is the official arbiter on recessions and expansions.

“It’s just an unusual situation to be entering into this choppy environment when you have a consumer with strong health and such a tight labor market,” Fraser said on Citi’s earnings call. “And I think that’s where you hear so many of us not so much concerned about an imminent recession in the [United] States.”

But Solomon, the Goldman CEO, said the company is playing it safe even though its economists expect inflation to pull back in the second half of the year.

“I think our tone is cautious because the environment is uncertain. The environment is very uncertain,” he said. “There’s no question that economic conditions are tightening to try to control inflation, and as economic conditions tighten, it will have a bigger impact on corporate confidence and also consumer activity in the economy. I think it’s hard to gauge exactly how that will play out, and so I think it’s prudent for us to be cautious.”